S2T BLOG

Trump Is Pushing on Mortgage Costs. But Washington Cannot Simply Order Lower Rates.

The Trump administration is trying to lower mortgage costs. Nobody can tell you exactly when the mortgage market will respond. For title agencies, that is precisely why the licensing decision needs to happen now.

The opportunity looks to be 2027, 2026 is the year to prepare.

The Trump administration has made housing affordability and mortgage costs a visible policy priority. The important distinction is that a President cannot simply order mortgage rates to 5%, 4%, or any other number.

The Federal Reserve cannot do that either.

The Fed directly controls its short-term policy rate, the federal funds rate. Thirty-year mortgage rates are longer-term market rates influenced by expectations about future Fed policy, Treasury yields, inflation, mortgage-backed securities pricing, investor demand, and credit spreads. The Fed can influence those rates. It does not simply set them.

That leaves the administration working through the tools available to it.

  • The White House says President Trump directed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase as much as $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities.Greater demand for agency MBS can put downward pressure on mortgage spreads and borrowing costs, although it cannot dictate the ultimate mortgage rate offered to consumers.
  • Executive Order 14393, signed March 13, 2026,directs regulators to reconsider portions of the mortgage regulatory framework, including rules affecting origination, servicing, community-bank participation, disclosures, and mortgage credit. The order itself does not rewrite those regulations overnight. It starts regulatory review and potential change.
  • Executive Order 14394directs federal agencies to review regulatory barriers affecting residential development, permitting, wetlands, infrastructure, energy requirements, manufactured housing, and other construction-related costs. More supply does not directly lower the mortgage rate, but lower housing costs can improve overall affordability.

There is movement. There is also uncertainty.

Freddie Mac’s latest weekly survey showed the average 30-year fixed mortgage at 6.71% on September 3, 2026.

Nobody knows precisely when rates will fall far enough to unlock the next major wave of mortgage activity.

And that is where the title industry needs to think differently.

The Mortgage Opportunity May Be 2027. Your Licensing Should Not Be.

Fannie Mae’s August 2026 forecast projects approximately $728 billion in refinance originations in 2026 and $801 billion in 2027, with total single-family mortgage originations reaching approximately $2.29 trillion in 2027.

The temptation for a title agency is obvious.

Wait.

Wait for rates to come down. Wait for refinance volume. Wait for the lender to expand. Wait until someone actually asks whether you can close in North Carolina, Texas, Michigan, Arizona, or another state outside your footprint.

That is exactly when the problem begins.

Mortgage volume can change quickly. Title agency licensing does not.

A lender or mortgage broker with an order today generally needs an answer today. If your agency is not licensed in the property state, the client is not likely to place the transaction on hold while you begin foreign qualification, producer licensing, agency licensing, appointments, bonds, or other jurisdiction-specific requirements.

They find someone who can close it.

That creates more than the risk of losing one order.

You may introduce your client to a competitor that already has the broader footprint your client needs.

The Recent Multi-State Mortgage Broker Changed the Equation

This has become more important with the growth of the multi-jurisdictional mortgage broker.

Mortgage originators increasingly conduct business across state lines. A broker may originate in five, ten, fifteen, or more states and does not necessarily want a different title relationship for every market.

They want coverage.

They want consistency.

And when they expand, they want their title partner to expand with them.

A title agency whose licensing footprint reflects where it historically did business can therefore find itself out of alignment with where its clients do business today.

Your licensing map should follow your clients, not your history.

System 2 Thinking: Speed Comes From Experience

This is where System 2 Thinking has a significant advantage.

We have spent more than 15 years working with title agency licensing across all 51 U.S. jurisdictions.

That experience matters because multi-state licensing is not simply a matter of completing the same application 20 times.

Every jurisdiction is different.

Corporate qualification may come first. A designated producer may need an individual license before the agency application can move. Some jurisdictions require bonds or specialized filings. Underwriter appointments may follow licensing. Other states introduce additional operational or structural requirements.

One mistake early in that sequence can delay everything behind it.

System 2 Thinking already knows the road.

We know what comes first, what can run simultaneously, where applications commonly get delayed, and which requirements should be addressed before the filing reaches the regulator.

We cannot control how quickly a regulator approves an application.

We can control how efficiently the application gets there.

That is the difference experience makes.

Do Not License When the Opportunity Arrives. License Before It Arrives.

The strategic question for 2026 is not whether anyone can perfectly predict mortgage rates in 2027.

They cannot.

The question is much simpler:

If your lender calls tomorrow with an order in a state where you are not licensed, what happens?

If the answer is, “We have to start the licensing process,” you already have a coverage gap.

System 2 Thinking can take your existing licensed-state footprint, compare it against the jurisdictions where your largest clients originate business, identify the holes, prioritize the states that matter most, and build a coordinated licensing sequence.

Do it while the market is preparing.

Not when the phone starts ringing.

The mortgage opportunity may be 2027. The licensing decision is today.

Nationwide Title Insurance Licensing: What Title Agencies Should Be Asking Now

Thinking about building a regional or nationwide title agency footprint? These are the questions that matter.

How quickly can System 2 Thinking license a title agency in multiple states?

There is no universal regulatory timetable, but experience can dramatically reduce avoidable delay. System 2 Thinking has more than 15 years of experience navigating title agency licensing across 51 jurisdictions. We know the sequencing, recurring regulator issues, producer requirements, corporate filings, and dependencies that commonly slow expansion.

Our goal is simple: move the licensing process as quickly as each jurisdiction will permit.

Can several states be licensed at the same time?

Yes. That is one of the advantages of treating expansion as a coordinated licensing program rather than a collection of individual applications.

Corporate registrations, producer licenses, agency applications, appointments, and supporting requirements can often be sequenced or pursued simultaneously.

Can one title agency become nationwide?

A title agency can build a broad national footprint, but there is no single nationwide title agency license. Licensing and operational authority are jurisdiction-specific.

That is why nationwide expansion requires a licensing strategy rather than simply an application strategy.

Should we wait until our lender asks us for another state?

That is the risk.

If the client has an order today and your agency needs months to become operational in that jurisdiction, the client may send the order somewhere else.

Licensing should precede demand, not chase it.

Does receiving the agency license mean we can immediately start closing?

Not always. Depending on the jurisdiction and underwriting relationship, additional producer licenses, appointments, agency agreements, escrow authority, bonds, corporate registrations, or operational requirements may remain.

System 2 Thinking looks beyond getting the license issued. The objective is to help build a footprint that can actually accept business.

How Big Is the Gap in Your Map?

Send System 2 Thinking your current licensed states and the states where your largest lender and mortgage-broker clients originate loans.

We will identify the meaningful gaps and help build the licensing sequence to close them.

Be licensed before the client asks.

Sources

  • Federal Reserve: Monetary Policy – What Are Its Goals? How Does It Work?
  • White House: Executive Order 14393, Promoting Access to Mortgage Credit (March 13, 2026)
  • White House: Executive Order 14394, Removing Regulatory Barriers to Affordable Home Construction (March 13, 2026)
  • Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, September 3, 2026
  • Fannie Mae Housing Forecast, August 2026

For more information and to talk to a System 2 Thinking expert, please tell us a bit about yourself.